WINETASTER ON 05/04/09 WITH 7 JUDGES AND 7 WINES BASED ON RANKS, IDENT=N
Copyright (c) 1995-2003 Richard E. Quandt, V. 1.65
A Vertical Tasting of Clos Martinet from Priorat
FLIGHT 1:
Number of Judges = 7
Number of Wines = 7
Identification of the Wine: The judges' overall ranking:
Wine A is Clos Martinet 1996 ........ 6th place
Wine B is Clos Martinet 2003 ........ 2nd place
Wine C is Clos Martinet 2002 ........ 3rd place
Wine D is Clos Martinet 1995 ........ 7th place
Wine E is Clos Martinet 2005 ........ 5th place
Wine F is Clos Martinet 2004 ........ 4th place
Wine G is Clos Martinet 2000 ........ 1st place
The Judges's Rankings
Judge Wine -> A B C D E F G
Ed 6. 7. 4. 2. 5. 1. 3.
Mike 4. 1. 2. 6. 3. 7. 5.
John 4. 5. 6. 7. 3. 2. 1.
Orley 4. 5. 3. 6. 1. 7. 2.
Bob 4. 2. 3. 6. 7. 5. 1.
Burt 7. 1. 3. 4. 5. 2. 6.
Dick 5. 2. 4. 7. 6. 3. 1.
Table of Votes Against
Wine -> A B C D E F G
Group Ranking -> 6 2 3 7 5 4 1
Votes Against -> 34 23 25 38 30 27 19
( 7 is the best possible, 49 is the worst)
Here is a measure of the correlation in the preferences of the judges which
ranges between 1.0 (perfect correlation) and 0.0 (no correlation):
W = 0.1866
The probability that random chance could be responsible for this correlation
is rather large, 0.2503. Most analysts would say that unless this
probability is less than 0.1, the judges' preferences are not strongly
related.
We now analyze how each taster's preferences are correlated with the group
preference. A correlation of 1.0 means that the taster's preferences are a
perfect predictor of the group's preferences. A 0.0 means no correlation,
while a -1.0 means that the taster has the reverse ranking of the group.
This is measured by the correlation R.
Correlation Between the Ranks of
Each Person With the Average Ranking of Others
Name of Person Correlation R
Dick 0.8547
Bob 0.7928
John 0.3964
Burt 0.2000
Orley 0.1429
Mike -0.0357
Ed -0.3604
The wines were preferred by the judges in the following order. When the
preferences of the judges are strong enough to permit meaningful differentiation
among the wines, they are separated by -------------------- and are judged to be
significantly different.
1. ........ 1st place Wine G is 2000
2. ........ 2nd place Wine B is 2003
3. ........ 3rd place Wine C is 2002
4. ........ 4th place Wine F is 2004
5. ........ 5th place Wine E is 2005
6. ........ 6th place Wine A is 1996
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7. ........ 7th place Wine D is 1995
We now test whether the ranksums AS A WHOLE provide a significant ordering.
The Friedman Chi-square value is 7.8367. The probability that this could
happen by chance is 0.2503
We now undertake a more detailed examination of the pair-wise rank correla-
tions that exist between pairs of judges. First, we present a table in which you
can find the correlation for any pair of judges, by finding one of the names in the
left hand margin and the other name on top of a column. A second table arranges
these correlations in descending order and marks which is significantly positive
significantly negative, or not significant. This may allow you to find clusters
of judges whose rankings were particularly similar or particularly dissimilar.
Pairwise Rank Correlations
Correlations must exceed in absolute value 0.79 for significance at the 0.05
level and must exceed 0.71 for significance at the 0.1 level
Ed Mike John
Ed 1.000 -0.857 0.179
Mike -0.857 1.000 -0.321
John 0.179 -0.321 1.000
Orley -0.393 0.464 0.286
Bob -0.250 0.321 0.214
Burt 0.071 0.214 -0.286
Dick -0.071 0.143 0.571
Orley Bob Burt
Ed -0.393 -0.250 0.071
Mike 0.464 0.321 0.214
John 0.286 0.214 -0.286
Orley 1.000 0.107 -0.536
Bob 0.107 1.000 0.071
Burt -0.536 0.071 1.000
Dick 0.036 0.857 0.250
Dick
Ed -0.071
Mike 0.143
John 0.571
Orley 0.036
Bob 0.857
Burt 0.250
Dick 1.000
Pairwise correlations in descending order
0.857 Bob and Dick Significantly positive
0.571 John and Dick Not significant
0.464 Mike and Orley Not significant
0.321 Mike and Bob Not significant
0.286 John and Orley Not significant
0.250 Burt and Dick Not significant
0.214 Mike and Burt Not significant
0.214 John and Bob Not significant
0.179 Ed and John Not significant
0.143 Mike and Dick Not significant
0.107 Orley and Bob Not significant
0.071 Ed and Burt Not significant
0.071 Bob and Burt Not significant
0.036 Orley and Dick Not significant
-0.071 Ed and Dick Not significant
-0.250 Ed and Bob Not significant
-0.286 John and Burt Not significant
-0.321 Mike and John Not significant
-0.393 Ed and Orley Not significant
-0.536 Orley and Burt Not significant
-0.857 Ed and Mike Significantly negative
COMMENT:
It is interesting that the two wines that were the lowest rated by the
group were the oldest wines, 1995 and 1996. Conversely, the younger
wines were preferred by the group. In fact, the oldest wines were ranked
as a group at the bottom, the youngest wines were ranked second from top,
and the middle-aged wines were ranked at the top. Clos Martinet is among
the younger top growths of the Priorat region; thus, we might expect
that the younger vintages were produced before the current status of
of the wine was achieved. All these wines were extremely drinkable now
and very lovely in every respect. Even the youngest wine was not too
young to drink. While these wines are delicious; it should be noted that
with the exception of the 1995 (13.5%) all these wines are between 14.0 an
and 14.5 % alcohol, which may aid their enjoyment but does require a
certain degree of caution.
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