WINETASTER ON 02/07/11 WITH 8 JUDGES AND 8 WINES BASED ON RANKS, IDENT=N
Copyright (c) 1995-2011 Richard E. Quandt, V. 1.65
FLIGHT 1:
Number of Judges = 8
Number of Wines = 8
Identification of the Wine: The judges' overall ranking:
Wine A is Echezeaux Faiveley 2001 tied for 3rd place
Wine B is Richebourg Leroy 2001 ........ 2nd place
Wine C is Clos de Vougeot Faiveley 2001 ........ 8th place
Wine D is Mazis Chambertin Faiveley 2001 tied for 3rd place
Wine E is Latricieres Chambertin Faiveley 20 ........ 7th place
Wine F is Chambertin Clos de Beze Faiveley 2 tied for 5th place
Wine G is Papapietro Perry Pinot Noir 2004 ........ 1st place
Wine H is Clos des Corton Monopole Faiveley tied for 5th place
The Judges's Rankings
Judge Wine -> A B C D E F G H
Mike 7. 6. 8. 4. 2. 3. 1. 5.
John 1. 8. 5. 6. 7. 4. 3. 2.
Ed 4. 6. 5. 1. 3. 2. 8. 7.
Burt 2. 3. 8. 6. 5. 7. 1. 4.
Zacki 3. 1. 8. 2. 6. 5. 7. 4.
Bob 3. 1. 5. 4. 8. 6. 2. 7.
Orley 3. 2. 6. 4. 8. 5. 1. 7.
Dick 8. 2. 6. 4. 5. 7. 1. 3.
Table of Votes Against
Wine -> A B C D E F G H
Group Ranking -> 3 2 8 3 7 5 1 5
Votes Against -> 31 29 51 31 44 39 24 39
( 8 is the best possible, 64 is the worst)
Here is a measure of the correlation in the preferences of the judges which
ranges between 1.0 (perfect correlation) and 0.0 (no correlation):
W = 0.2046
The probability that random chance could be responsible for this correlation
is rather large, 0.1198. Most analysts would say that unless this
probability is less than 0.1, the judges' preferences are not strongly
related.
We now analyze how each taster's preferences are correlated with the group
preference. A correlation of 1.0 means that the taster's preferences are a
perfect predictor of the group's preferences. A 0.0 means no correlation,
while a -1.0 means that the taster has the reverse ranking of the group.
This is measured by the correlation R.
Correlation Between the Ranks of
Each Person With the Average Ranking of Others
Name of Person Correlation R
Orley 0.8383
Bob 0.6946
Burt 0.6190
Zacki 0.4311
Dick 0.2048
Mike 0.1557
John -0.1205
Ed -0.4286
The wines were preferred by the judges in the following order. When the
preferences of the judges are strong enough to permit meaningful differentiation
among the wines, they are separated by -------------------- and are judged to be
significantly different.
1. ........ 1st place Wine G is Papapietro Perry Pinot Noir 2004
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2. ........ 2nd place Wine B is Richebourg Leroy 2001
3. tied for 3rd place Wine A is Echezeaux Faivelet 2001
4. tied for 3rd place Wine D is Mazis Chambertin Faivelet 2001
5. tied for 5th place Wine F is Chambertin Clos de Beze Faivelet 2
6. tied for 5th place Wine H is Clos des Corton Monopole Faivelet
7. ........ 7th place Wine E is Latricieres Chambertin Faivelet 20
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8. ........ 8th place Wine C is Clos de Vougeot Faivelet 2001
We now test whether the ranksums AS A WHOLE provide a significant ordering.
The Friedman Chi-square value is 11.4583. The probability that this could
happen by chance is 0.1198
We now undertake a more detailed examination of the pair-wise rank correla-
tions that exist between pairs of judges. First, we present a table in which you
can find the correlation for any pair of judges, by finding one of the names in the
left hand margin and the other name on top of a column. A second table arranges
these correlations in descending order and marks which is significantly positive
significantly negative, or not significant. This may allow you to find clusters
of judges whose rankings were particularly similar or particularly dissimilar.
Pairwise Rank Correlations
Correlations must exceed in absolute value 0.74 for significance at the 0.05
level and must exceed 0.64 for significance at the 0.1 level
Mike John Ed
Mike 1.000 -0.095 0.024
John -0.095 1.000 -0.286
Ed 0.024 -0.286 1.000
Burt 0.238 0.333 -0.595
Zacki -0.214 -0.190 0.238
Bob -0.190 -0.048 -0.333
Orley 0.048 0.095 -0.310
Dick 0.405 -0.286 -0.619
Burt Zacki Bob
Mike 0.238 -0.214 -0.190
John 0.333 -0.190 -0.048
Ed -0.595 0.238 -0.333
Burt 1.000 0.262 0.548
Zacki 0.262 1.000 0.381
Bob 0.548 0.381 1.000
Orley 0.619 0.310 0.952
Dick 0.452 0.095 0.357
Orley Dick
Mike 0.048 0.405
John 0.095 -0.286
Ed -0.310 -0.619
Burt 0.619 0.452
Zacki 0.310 0.095
Bob 0.952 0.357
Orley 1.000 0.357
Dick 0.357 1.000
Pairwise correlations in descending order
0.952 Bob and Orley Significantly positive
0.619 Burt and Orley Not significant
0.548 Burt and Bob Not significant
0.452 Burt and Dick Not significant
0.405 Mike and Dick Not significant
0.381 Zacki and Bob Not significant
0.357 Orley and Dick Not significant
0.357 Bob and Dick Not significant
0.333 John and Burt Not significant
0.310 Zacki and Orley Not significant
0.262 Burt and Zacki Not significant
0.238 Mike and Burt Not significant
0.238 Ed and Zacki Not significant
0.095 Zacki and Dick Not significant
0.095 John and Orley Not significant
0.048 Mike and Orley Not significant
0.024 Mike and Ed Not significant
-0.048 John and Bob Not significant
-0.095 Mike and John Not significant
-0.190 John and Zacki Not significant
-0.190 Mike and Bob Not significant
-0.214 Mike and Zacki Not significant
-0.286 John and Ed Not significant
-0.286 John and Dick Not significant
-0.310 Ed and Orley Not significant
-0.333 Ed and Bob Not significant
-0.595 Ed and Burt Not significant
-0.619 Ed and Dick Not significant
COMMENT:
It has to be noted that the California wine was recognized by everybody
as a ringer and some people loved it while others hated it (relatively
speaking). Six of the wines come from individual
vineyards of the same producer, and were noticeably similarly ranked.
The overall correlation just misses being significant, and as in Report 130,
overall the one American wine was the best liked.
Most of the wines were drinking very well indeed after 10 years in the
cellar and with underlying acidity were good food friendly wines. One
person present who drinks Kistler's pinot noirs often, commented that
the Papaietro has a similar character. One of the group who recalls
the 2002 tasting of several years ago with clarity thought these wines
were fully comparable today.
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