WINETASTER ON 10/03/11 WITH 8 JUDGES AND 9 WINES BASED ON RANKS, IDENT=N
Copyright (c) 1995-2011 Richard E. Quandt, V. 1.65
A tasting of 2001 Brunello di Montalcino
FLIGHT 1:
Number of Judges = 8
Number of Wines = 9
Identification of the Wine: The judges' overall ranking:
Wine A is Nardi ........ 9th place
Wine B is Uccelliera ........ 8th place
Wine C is Conti Constanti tied for 6th place
Wine D is Salicutti ........ 5th place
Wine E is Castelgiocondo ........ 4th place
Wine F is Poggio Antico tied for 6th place
Wine G is Casanova di Neri ........ 1st place
Wine H is Il Poggione tied for 2nd place
Wine I is Pieve Santa Restituta Rennina tied for 2nd place
The Judges's Rankings
Judge Wine -> A B C D E F G H I
Orley 9. 7. 5. 8. 4. 6. 2. 3. 1.
Mike 9. 8. 7. 4. 1. 2. 3. 5. 6.
Burt 9. 8. 7. 3. 1. 5. 2. 6. 4.
Richard 9. 4. 8. 5. 1. 7. 6. 2. 3.
Jerry 9. 4. 3. 7. 8. 6. 2. 5. 1.
Zaki 9. 8. 4. 3. 5. 6. 1. 2. 7.
Ed 9. 6. 5. 3. 7. 2. 1. 4. 8.
Dick 9. 3. 1. 5. 8. 6. 2. 7. 4.
Table of Votes Against
Wine -> A B C D E F G H I
Group Ranking -> 9 8 6 5 4 6 1 2 2
Votes Against -> 72 48 40 38 35 40 19 34 34
( 8 is the best possible, 72 is the worst)
Here is a measure of the correlation in the preferences of the judges which
ranges between 1.0 (perfect correlation) and 0.0 (no correlation):
W = 0.4245
The probability that random chance could be responsible for this correlation
is quite small, 0.0007. Most analysts would say that unless this
probability is less than 0.1, the judges' preferences are not strongly
related.
We now analyze how each taster's preferences are correlated with the group
preference. A correlation of 1.0 means that the taster's preferences are a
perfect predictor of the group's preferences. A 0.0 means no correlation,
while a -1.0 means that the taster has the reverse ranking of the group.
This is measured by the correlation R.
Correlation Between the Ranks of
Each Person With the Average Ranking of Others
Name of Person Correlation R
Zaki 0.5667
Burt 0.5188
Orley 0.5105
Mike 0.3264
Ed 0.2678
Jerry 0.1833
Richard 0.1345
Dick 0.0586
The wines were preferred by the judges in the following order. When the
preferences of the judges are strong enough to permit meaningful differentiation
among the wines, they are separated by -------------------- and are judged to be
significantly different.
1. ........ 1st place Wine G is Casanova di Neri
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2. tied for 2nd place Wine H is Il Poggione
3. tied for 2nd place Wine I is Pieve Santa Restituta Rennina
4. ........ 4th place Wine E is Castelgiocondo
5. ........ 5th place Wine D is Salicutti
6. tied for 6th place Wine F is Poggio Antico
7. tied for 6th place Wine C is Conti Constanti
8. ........ 8th place Wine B is Uccelliera
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9. ........ 9th place Wine A is Nardi
We now test whether the ranksums AS A WHOLE provide a significant ordering.
The Friedman Chi-square value is 27.1667. The probability that this could
happen by chance is 0.0007
We now undertake a more detailed examination of the pair-wise rank correla-
tions that exist between pairs of judges. First, we present a table in which you
can find the correlation for any pair of judges, by finding one of the names in the
left hand margin and the other name on top of a column. A second table arranges
these correlations in descending order and marks which is significantly positive
significantly negative, or not significant. This may allow you to find clusters
of judges whose rankings were particularly similar or particularly dissimilar.
Pairwise Rank Correlations
Correlations must exceed in absolute value 0.70 for significance at the 0.05
level and must exceed 0.60 for significance at the 0.1 level
Orley Mike Burt
Orley 1.000 0.367 0.517
Mike 0.367 1.000 0.867
Burt 0.517 0.867 1.000
Richard 0.517 0.417 0.517
Jerry 0.717 -0.100 0.100
Zaki 0.450 0.533 0.567
Ed 0.150 0.550 0.383
Dick 0.317 -0.133 0.033
Richard Jerry Zaki
Orley 0.517 0.717 0.450
Mike 0.417 -0.100 0.533
Burt 0.517 0.100 0.567
Richard 1.000 0.100 0.217
Jerry 0.100 1.000 0.267
Zaki 0.217 0.267 1.000
Ed -0.100 0.233 0.750
Dick -0.183 0.817 0.317
Ed Dick
Orley 0.150 0.317
Mike 0.550 -0.133
Burt 0.383 0.033
Richard -0.100 -0.183
Jerry 0.233 0.817
Zaki 0.750 0.317
Ed 1.000 0.400
Dick 0.400 1.000
Pairwise correlations in descending order
0.867 Mike and Burt Significantly positive
0.817 Jerry and Dick Significantly positive
0.750 Zaki and Ed Significantly positive
0.717 Orley and Jerry Significantly positive
0.567 Burt and Zaki Not significant
0.550 Mike and Ed Not significant
0.533 Mike and Zaki Not significant
0.517 Burt and Richard Not significant
0.517 Orley and Richard Not significant
0.517 Orley and Burt Not significant
0.450 Orley and Zaki Not significant
0.417 Mike and Richard Not significant
0.400 Ed and Dick Not significant
0.383 Burt and Ed Not significant
0.367 Orley and Mike Not significant
0.317 Zaki and Dick Not significant
0.317 Orley and Dick Not significant
0.267 Jerry and Zaki Not significant
0.233 Jerry and Ed Not significant
0.217 Richard and Zaki Not significant
0.150 Orley and Ed Not significant
0.100 Burt and Jerry Not significant
0.100 Richard and Jerry Not significant
0.033 Burt and Dick Not significant
-0.100 Mike and Jerry Not significant
-0.100 Richard and Ed Not significant
-0.133 Mike and Dick Not significant
-0.183 Richard and Dick Not significant
COMMENT:
One wine, the Il Poggione, was corked by agreement of several people and
was replaced with an identical uncorked bottle by our host. This is a
rare example where a flawed wine could be replaced. Our host, who
normally buys Bordeaux and Burgundies, explained that the wine world felt
that Brunello has finally become grown up. He bought these wines with the
regular cuvees and that we should drink them today, 10 years after the
vintage, so that we could in a future tasting compare them to the reserves
from the same producers. The wines were wonderful today and would be as
good or better in the next 3-5 years.It is very rare that the group is in
perfect agreement about any wine. The Nardi was ranked dead last by every
person present. This wine was disliked for various reasons that are hard
to summarize. But there was nearly as strong agreement on the excellence
of the Casanova di Neri. This wine was noticeably more complex than its
competitors.
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