WINETASTER ON 03/07/16 WITH 8 JUDGES AND 8 WINES BASED ON RANKS, IDENT=N
Copyright (c) 1995-2016 Richard E. Quandt, V. 1.65
FLIGHT 1:
Number of Judges = 8
Number of Wines = 8
Identification of the Wine: The judges' overall ranking:
Wine A is Ch. Gruaud Larose 1982 ........ 8th place
Wine B is Ch. Pichon Longueville Baron 1988 ........ 7th place
Wine C is Ch. Pavie 2005 ........ 6th place
Wine D is Ch. Ducru Beaucaillou ........ 4th place
Wine E is Ch. Pichon Longueville Contesse 1990 ........ 5th place
Wine F is Ch. Montrose 2006 ........ 1st place
Wine G is Ch. Léoville Poyferré 2003 ........ 3rd place
Wine H is Ch. Pichon Longueville Contesse 1994 ........ 2nd place
The Judges's Rankings
Judge Wine -> A B C D E F G H
Zaki 6. 7. 8. 1. 3. 2. 5. 4.
Mike 8. 6. 7. 4. 2. 3. 1. 5.
Bob 3. 4. 7. 8. 5. 6. 2. 1.
Ed 8. 6. 7. 2. 4. 1. 3. 5.
Dick 8. 7. 1. 4. 3. 6. 5. 2.
Taysen 7. 8. 3. 6. 4. 5. 1. 2.
Burt 5. 7. 4. 2. 6. 1. 8. 3.
Orley 8. 6. 7. 3. 5. 1. 2. 4.
Table of Votes Against
Wine -> A B C D E F G H
Group Ranking -> 8 7 6 4 5 1 3 2
Votes Against -> 53 51 44 30 32 25 27 26
( 8 is the best possible, 64 is the worst)
Here is a measure of the correlation in the preferences of the judges which
ranges between 1.0 (perfect correlation) and 0.0 (no correlation):
W = 0.3467
The probability that random chance could be responsible for this correlation
is quite small, 0.0070. Most analysts would say that unless this
probability is less than 0.1, the judges' preferences are not strongly
related.
We now analyze how each taster's preferences are correlated with the group
preference. A correlation of 1.0 means that the taster's preferences are a
perfect predictor of the group's preferences. A 0.0 means no correlation,
while a -1.0 means that the taster has the reverse ranking of the group.
This is measured by the correlation R.
Correlation Between the Ranks of
Each Person With the Average Ranking of Others
Name of Person Correlation R
Orley 0.7952
Ed 0.6547
Mike 0.5663
Zaki 0.4940
Taysen 0.4072
Dick 0.2381
Burt 0.0476
Bob -0.2515
The wines were preferred by the judges in the following order. When the
preferences of the judges are strong enough to permit meaningful differentiation
among the wines, they are separated by -------------------- and are judged to be
significantly different.
1. ........ 1st place Wine F is Ch. Montrose 2006
2. ........ 2nd place Wine H is Ch. Pichon Longueville Contesse 1994
3. ........ 3rd place Wine G is Ch. Léoville Poyferré 2003
4. ........ 4th place Wine D is Ch. Ducru Beaucaillou
5. ........ 5th place Wine E is Ch. Pichon Longueville Contesse 1990
6. ........ 6th place Wine C is Ch. Pavie 2005
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7. ........ 7th place Wine B is Ch. Pichon Longueville Baron 1988
8. ........ 8th place Wine A is Ch. Gruaud Larose 1982
We now test whether the ranksums AS A WHOLE provide a significant ordering.
The Friedman Chi-square value is 19.4167. The probability that this could
happen by chance is 0.0070
We now undertake a more detailed examination of the pair-wise rank correla-
tions that exist between pairs of judges. First, we present a table in which you
can find the correlation for any pair of judges, by finding one of the names in the
left hand margin and the other name on top of a column. A second table arranges
these correlations in descending order and marks which is significantly positive
significantly negative, or not significant. This may allow you to find clusters
of judges whose rankings were particularly similar or particularly dissimilar.
Pairwise Rank Correlations
Correlations must exceed in absolute value 0.74 for significance at the 0.05
level and must exceed 0.64 for significance at the 0.1 level
Zachi Mike Bob
Zaki 1.000 0.595 -0.262
Mike 0.595 1.000 0.048
Bob -0.262 0.048 1.000
Ed 0.833 0.810 -0.286
Dick 0.024 0.143 -0.190
Taysen 0.024 0.500 0.333
Burt 0.548 -0.143 -0.476
Orley 0.714 0.810 -0.048
Ed Dick Taysen
Zaki 0.833 0.024 0.024
Mike 0.810 0.143 0.500
Bob -0.286 -0.190 0.333
Ed 1.000 0.048 0.214
Dick 0.048 1.000 0.667
Taysen 0.214 0.667 1.000
Burt 0.381 0.214 -0.095
Orley 0.952 0.048 0.381
Burt Orley
Zaki 0.548 0.714
Mike -0.143 0.810
Bob -0.476 -0.048
Ed 0.381 0.952
Dick 0.214 0.048
Taysen -0.095 0.381
Burt 1.000 0.310
Orley 0.310 1.000
Pairwise correlations in descending order
0.952 Ed and Orley Significantly positive
0.833 Zaki and Ed Significantly positive
0.810 Mike and Ed Significantly positive
0.810 Mike and Orley Significantly positive
0.714 Zaki and Orley Significantly positive
0.667 Dick and Taysen Significantly positive
0.595 Zaki and Mike Not significant
0.548 Zaki and Burt Not significant
0.500 Mike and Taysen Not significant
0.381 Ed and Burt Not significant
0.381 Taysen and Orley Not significant
0.333 Bob and Taysen Not significant
0.310 Burt and Orley Not significant
0.214 Ed and Taysen Not significant
0.214 Dick and Burt Not significant
0.143 Mike and Dick Not significant
0.048 Ed and Dick Not significant
0.048 Mike and Bob Not significant
0.048 Dick and Orley Not significant
0.024 Zaki and Taysen Not significant
0.024 Zaki and Dick Not significant
-0.048 Bob and Orley Not significant
-0.095 Taysen and Burt Not significant
-0.143 Mike and Burt Not significant
-0.190 Bob and Dick Not significant
-0.262 Zaki and Bob Not significant
-0.286 Bob and Ed Not significant
-0.476 Bob and Burt Not significant
COMMENT:
We generally concluded that we don't drink enough Bordeaux wines and
that we should drink more. Like some of the tasters presenrt, the 1982
Gruaud Larose has seen better days. Today many of us, but not all, preferred
the younger wines in the tasting—but the youngest wine was 10 years old.
As a general observation, it should be noted that a tasting such as this
is always subject to bottle variability and vintage performance
differences by chateau: so the individual wines stand on their own.
Note that these wines were all recognizably Bordeaux wines but they
differed in tannin and acidity. This tasting reminded us how enjoyable
it is to drink Bordeaux wines and how well they go with food.
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