WINETASTER ON 04/05/19 WITH 8 JUDGES AND 8 WINES BASED ON RANKS, IDENT=N
Copyright (c) 1995-2019 Richard E. Quandt, V. 1.65
FLIGHT 1:
Number of Judges = 8
Number of Wines = 8
Identification of the Wine: The judges' overall ranking:
Wine A is Sassicaia 2009 ........ 6th place
Wine B is Sassicaia 2011 ........ 4th place
Wine C is Sassicaia 1985 ........ 5th place
Wine D is Sassicaia 2015 ........ 1st place
Wine E is Sassicaia 2007 ........ 7th place
Wine F is Sassicaia 2013 tied for 2nd place
Wine G is Sassicaia 2008 tied for 2nd place
Wine H is Sassicaia 1978 ........ 8th place
The Judges's Rankings
Judge Wine -> A B C D E F G H
Zaki 4. 5. 8. 3. 2. 6. 1. 7.
Ed 6. 3. 5. 7. 8. 2. 1. 4.
Mike 7. 5. 4. 6. 3. 1. 2. 8.
Angus 3. 5. 4. 1. 8. 6. 2. 7.
Jerry 4. 1. 7. 5. 6. 2. 3. 8.
Bob 4. 3. 1. 2. 6. 5. 7. 8.
Burt 2. 5. 3. 1. 4. 6. 7. 8.
Dick 5. 4. 1. 3. 6. 2. 7. 8.
Table of Votes Against
Wine -> A B C D E F G H
Group Ranking -> 6 4 5 1 7 2 2 8
Votes Against -> 35 31 33 28 43 30 30 58
( 8 is the best possible, 64 is the worst)
Here is a measure of the correlation in the preferences of the judges which
ranges between 1.0 (perfect correlation) and 0.0 (no correlation):
W = 0.2619
The probability that random chance could be responsible for this correlation
is quite small, 0.0405. Most analysts would say that unless this
probability is less than 0.1, the judges' preferences are not strongly
related.
We now analyze how each taster's preferences are correlated with the group
preference. A correlation of 1.0 means that the taster's preferences are a
perfect predictor of the group's preferences. A 0.0 means no correlation,
while a -1.0 means that the taster has the reverse ranking of the group.
This is measured by the correlation R.
Correlation Between the Ranks of
Each Person With the Average Ranking of Others
Name of Person Correlation R
Angus 0.3571
Jerry 0.2143
Dick 0.1905
Bob 0.1190
Ed 0.0368
Mike -0.0482
Burt -0.1190
Zaki -0.2275
The wines were preferred by the judges in the following order. When the
preferences of the judges are strong enough to permit meaningful differentiation
among the wines, they are separated by -------------------- and are judged to be
significantly different.
1. ........ 1st place Wine D is Sassicaia 2015
2. tied for 2nd place Wine G is Sassicaia 2008
3. tied for 2nd place Wine F is Sassicaia 2013
4. ........ 4th place Wine B is Sassicaia 2011
5. ........ 5th place Wine C is Sassicaia 1985
6. ........ 6th place Wine A is Sassicaia 2009
7. ........ 7th place Wine E is Sassicaia 2007
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8. ........ 8th place Wine H is Sassicaia 1978
We now test whether the ranksums AS A WHOLE provide a significant ordering.
The Friedman Chi-square value is 14.6667. The probability that this could
happen by chance is 0.0405
We now undertake a more detailed examination of the pair-wise rank correla-
tions that exist between pairs of judges. First, we present a table in which you
can find the correlation for any pair of judges, by finding one of the names in the
left hand margin and the other name on top of a column. A second table arranges
these correlations in descending order and marks which is significantly positive
significantly negative, or not significant. This may allow you to find clusters
of judges whose rankings were particularly similar or particularly dissimilar.
Pairwise Rank Correlations
Correlations must exceed in absolute value 0.74 for significance at the 0.05
level and must exceed 0.64 for significance at the 0.1 level
Zaki Ed Mike
Zaki 1.000 -0.119 0.262
Ed -0.119 1.000 0.405
Mike 0.262 0.405 1.000
Angus 0.310 0.095 -0.095
Jerry 0.310 0.524 0.452
Bob -0.286 -0.310 -0.048
Burt 0.119 -0.714 -0.214
Dick -0.429 -0.071 0.310
Angus Jerry Bob
Zaki 0.310 0.310 -0.286
Ed 0.095 0.524 -0.310
Mike -0.095 0.452 -0.048
Angus 1.000 0.238 0.452
Jerry 0.238 1.000 0.119
Bob 0.452 0.119 1.000
Burt 0.476 -0.048 0.786
Dick 0.238 0.214 0.857
Burt Dick
Zaki 0.119 -0.429
Ed -0.714 -0.071
Mike -0.214 0.310
Angus 0.476 0.238
Jerry -0.048 0.214
Bob 0.786 0.857
Burt 1.000 0.548
Dick 0.548 1.000
Pairwise correlations in descending order
0.857 Bob and Dick Significantly positive
0.786 Bob and Burt Significantly positive
0.548 Burt and Dick Not significant
0.524 Ed and Jerry Not significant
0.476 Angus and Burt Not significant
0.452 Mike and Jerry Not significant
0.452 Angus and Bob Not significant
0.405 Ed and Mike Not significant
0.310 Zaki and Jerry Not significant
0.310 Mike and Dick Not significant
0.310 Zaki and Angus Not significant
0.262 Zaki and Mike Not significant
0.238 Angus and Jerry Not significant
0.238 Angus and Dick Not significant
0.214 Jerry and Dick Not significant
0.119 Zaki and Burt Not significant
0.119 Jerry and Bob Not significant
0.095 Ed and Angus Not significant
-0.048 Jerry and Burt Not significant
-0.048 Mike and Bob Not significant
-0.071 Ed and Dick Not significant
-0.095 Mike and Angus Not significant
-0.119 Zaki and Ed Not significant
-0.214 Mike and Burt Not significant
-0.286 Zaki and Bob Not significant
-0.310 Ed and Bob Not significant
-0.429 Zaki and Dick Not significant
-0.714 Ed and Burt Significantly negative
COMMENT:
Rare vertical tasting of eight vintage of Sassicaia, covering 37 years
including the 1985---considere4d by some critics as one of the greatest
wines made in Italy. The difficulty of the tasters to discern differences,
with one exception, between these outstanding wines bore witness to the
truth that verticals are the truest and most challenging ooof all tastings
Wigth the exceptio n of the 1978, all the wines were ddelicious with
several decades still in front of them...inclduing the 1985 which held its
own well with its more4 useful siblings. Several tasters noted that the
nose on these wines was quite restrained. Some tasters noted that the
differences were surprisingly small, given the range in ages. Even the one
that was unanimously last might have been affected by the difficulty of
opening it. This wine was judged significantly not liked and wine G
had interestingly a bimodal distribution of ranks
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