WINETASTER ON 01/06/20 WITH 6 JUDGES AND 6 WINES BASED ON RANKS, IDENT=N
Copyright (c) 1995-2020 Richard E. Quandt, V. 1.65
FLIGHT 1:
Number of Judges = 6
Number of Wines = 6
Identification of the Wine: The judges' overall ranking:
Wine A is Ch. d'Ampuis Guigal 2001 tied for 3rd place
Wine B is Hermitage La Sizeranne 1997 ........ 5th place
Wine C is Cornas Dom. Clape 2001 ........ 2nd place
Wine D is Cornas Dom. Clape 1997 ........ 1st place
Wine E is Hermitage La Chappelle 2001 ........ 6th place
Wine F is Ch.d'Ampuis Guigal 1997 tied for 3rd place
The Judges's Rankings
Judge Wine -> A B C D E F
Stephen 6. 5. 2. 1. 3. 4.
Burt 1. 5. 4. 2. 6. 3.
Bob 3. 4. 2. 1. 6. 5.
Zaki 5. 6. 4. 3. 1. 2.
Thom 3. 4. 1. 2. 6. 5.
Dick 2. 3. 5. 4. 6. 1.
Table of Votes Against
Wine -> A B C D E F
Group Ranking -> 3 5 2 1 6 3
Votes Against -> 20 27 18 13 28 20
( 6 is the best possible, 36 is the worst)
Here is a measure of the correlation in the preferences of the judges which
ranges between 1.0 (perfect correlation) and 0.0 (no correlation):
W = 0.2540
The probability that random chance could be responsible for this correlation
is rather large, 0.1785. Most analysts would say that unless this
probability is less than 0.1, the judges' preferences are not strongly
related.
We now analyze how each taster's preferences are correlated with the group
preference. A correlation of 1.0 means that the taster's preferences are a
perfect predictor of the group's preferences. A 0.0 means no correlation,
while a -1.0 means that the taster has the reverse ranking of the group.
This is measured by the correlation R.
Correlation Between the Ranks of
Each Person With the Average Ranking of Others
Name of Person Correlation R
Burt 0.5798
Bob 0.5429
Thom 0.3769
Stephen 0.2029
Dick -0.0857
Zaki -0.2000
The wines were preferred by the judges in the following order. When the
preferences of the judges are strong enough to permit meaningful differentiation
among the wines, they are separated by -------------------- and are judged to be
significantly different.
1. ........ 1st place Wine D is Cornas Dom. Clape 1997
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2. ........ 2nd place Wine C is Cornas Dom. Clape 2001
3. tied for 3rd place Wine A is Ch. d'Ampuis Guigal 2001
4. tied for 3rd place Wine F is Ch.d'Ampuis Guigal 1997
5. ........ 5th place Wine B is Hermitage La Sizeranne 1997
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6. ........ 6th place Wine E is Hermitage La Chappelle 2001
We now test whether the ranksums AS A WHOLE provide a significant ordering.
The Friedman Chi-square value is 7.6190. The probability that this could
happen by chance is 0.1785
We now undertake a more detailed examination of the pair-wise rank correla-
tions that exist between pairs of judges. First, we present a table in which you
can find the correlation for any pair of judges, by finding one of the names in the
left hand margin and the other name on top of a column. A second table arranges
these correlations in descending order and marks which is significantly positive
significantly negative, or not significant. This may allow you to find clusters
of judges whose rankings were particularly similar or particularly dissimilar.
Pairwise Rank Correlations
Correlations must exceed in absolute value 0.89 for significance at the 0.05
level and must exceed 0.83 for significance at the 0.1 level
Stephen Burt Bob
Stephen 1.000 -0.143 0.429
Burt -0.143 1.000 0.600
Bob 0.429 0.600 1.000
Zaki 0.486 -0.257 -0.429
Thom 0.371 0.486 0.943
Dick -0.600 0.600 -0.029
Zaki Thom Dick
Stephen 0.486 0.371 -0.600
Burt -0.257 0.486 0.600
Bob -0.429 0.943 -0.029
Zaki 1.000 -0.486 -0.314
Thom -0.486 1.000 -0.086
Dick -0.314 -0.086 1.000
Pairwise correlations in descending order
0.943 Bob and Thom Significantly positive
0.600 Burt and Dick Not significant
0.600 Burt and Bob Not significant
0.486 Burt and Thom Not significant
0.486 Stephen and Zaki Not significant
0.429 Stephen and Bob Not significant
0.371 Stephen and Thom Not significant
-0.029 Bob and Dick Not significant
-0.086 Thom and Dick Not significant
-0.143 Stephen and Burt Not significant
-0.257 Burt and Zaki Not significant
-0.314 Zaki and Dick Not significant
-0.429 Bob and Zaki Not significant
-0.486 Zaki and Thom Not significant
-0.600 Stephen and Dick Not significant
COMMENT:
Ther wines were basically very similar, which makes it interesting that with asw few as 6
tasters and 6 wines one turned out to be significantly liked and one significantly not liked.
It was noticeable that the top two rated wines were from Cornas, which
were the most expensive wines. These high Syrrah wines from first rate
producers bear out the received wisdom that these wines justify long term
cellaring. There appeared to be no significant difference between the two vintages.
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